Pirates Look to Continue Home Stand Success Against Reds
The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Cincinnati Reds for the final game of a four-game series on Sunday, August 25th. This matchup presents an intriguing battle between two teams with differing recent performances. The Pirates, riding a wave of momentum at home, are favored to extend their winning streak against the struggling Reds. The game is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and will be televised on SportsNet PT.
Key Takeaways:
- Pirates Favored: The Pirates are currently listed as -111 moneyline favorites over the Reds, who come in as -108 underdogs. This indicates a tight contest, but the betting markets favor the Pirates.
- Home Advantage: The Pirates have been particularly successful at home this season, making the home field a potential advantage in this matchup.
- Reds Struggles: The Reds, meanwhile, are facing a tough stretch, having lost more than they’ve won in their past 10 games.
Pirates vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
| Statistic | Data Points |
|---|---|
| Date & Time | Sunday, August 25, 2024, 1:35 p.m. ET |
| Location | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania |
| TV | SportsNet PT |
| Moneyline Odds | Pirates -111, Reds -108 |
| Total Odds | Over 8.5 runs -122, Under 8.5 runs +101 |
| Run Line | Pirates -1.5 -178, Reds +1.5 +148 |
Pirates vs. Reds Prediction
The betting odds suggest a close encounter, and our experts are predicting a tight competition with the Pirates emerging victorious.
- Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Pirates 52%, Reds 48%
Pirates vs. Reds Betting Insights
The Pirates’ recent record as moneyline favorites and the Reds’ performance as underdogs offer valuable insight into the potential outcomes of this matchup.
- Pirates’ Moneyline Success: The Pirates have won 57.4% of their games this season when favored, including 57.4% of games where they were favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
- Reds’ Underdog Struggle: The Reds have won 44.1% of their games this season as underdogs. They have a slightly better win percentage when underdog by at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- Recent Moneyline Wins: The Pirates have secured victories in all three of their last 10 games where they were moneyline favorites.
- Over/Under Tendencies: The Pirates and their opponents have surpassed the over in six out of their last 10 games with defined totals.
- Against the Spread Success: Over the past 10 games, the Pirates have compiled a strong 7-3-0 record against the spread.
Pirates Recent Stats
| Statistic | Average/Total |
|---|---|
| Record (last 10 games) | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game (last 10 games) | 3.9 |
| Home Runs (last 10 games) | 9 |
| ERA (last 10 games) | 4.13 |
| Strikeouts Per 9 Innings (last 10 games) | 9.8 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Bryan Reynolds, Powerhouse: Reynolds leads the team in batting average (.279), home runs (19), and RBIs (70) this season.
- Oneil Cruz’s Recent Hot Streak: Cruz is currently on a five-game hitting streak, boasting a strong .353 batting average during that stretch.
- Other Key Contributors: De La Cruz, Kiner-Falefa, and Bart are also contributing significantly to the Pirates’ offense.
Pirates Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+175) |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+130) |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+145) |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 () | – | 0.5 (+165) |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+185) |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- Underdog Struggles: The Reds have won only two of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- Over/Under Trends: The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 games.
- Against the Spread Record: The Reds have a 4-6-0 record against the spread in their past 10 games.
Reds Recent Stats
| Statistic | Average/Total |
|---|---|
| Record (last 10 games) | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game (last 10 games) | 4.7 |
| Home Runs (last 10 games) | 12 |
| ERA (last 10 games) | 6.41 |
| Strikeouts Per 9 Innings (last 10 games) | 8.1 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz, Power Threat: De La Cruz leads the Reds in batting average (.264) and home runs (22).
- Spencer Steer, RBI Machine: Steer paces the team in RBIs with 81.
- Other Key Players: India and Stephenson are also notable hitters for the Reds.
Reds Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+170) |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+165) |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+170) |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+195) |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+200) |
The Pirates, riding a wave of momentum at home, appear well-positioned to capitalize on the Reds’ struggles and secure a victory in the final game of the series. The Pirates’ strong pitching and recent offensive surge make them a compelling bet, while the Reds’ inconsistent performance might lead to another loss. The under on the run total could also be a good option given the Pirates’ recent pitching success and the Reds’ fluctuating offensive production. Ultimately, while the game is sure to be tight, the Pirates’ home advantage and recent form make them the more likely winner.
